Online Forex Trading For You

Wednesday, July 15, 2009

Learn Technical Analysis Starting With The Ascending Continuation Triangle

By Chris Blanchet

Although we have already looked at a Classic Pattern in the Learn Technical Analysis Free series, another important pattern to understand early on is the Ascending Continuation Triangle. This pattern is formed by two converging trendlines -- a horizontal upper line that scrapes along two steady "highs" of a trading range and an increasing lower line that follows two higher lows of the same range.

Investors who want to learn technical analysis are wise to understand the Ascending Continuation Triangle as it is normally a short-term pattern that takes form over one to three months. This allows for quick gains if the pattern is accurate and minimal losses if it is false.

When starting to learn technical analysis, it is usually a little more difficult to have the patience needed to confirm such a pattern. However, here are a few tips to consider as the pattern starts to take shape.

Volume

This is probably the most important confirming factor when it comes to this pattern. As the pattern takes shape, volume should be diminishing. When the pattern is confirmed and there is a breakout, volume should spike. Lacking this volume spike at breakout, investors should no consider the pattern reliable and should steer away from making trade decisions based on it.

Moving Average

If the pattern's prices come close to or touch the 200-day Moving Average, the pattern is stronger and investors should consider it more reliable than if the prices were not close.

Duration

For people who are just starting to learn technical analysis, keep in mind that the break-out (penetration of the upper, horizontal line) should happen well before the pattern actually reaches the apex of the triangle (the right-most tip). In fact, break-out should occur roughly three-quarters to two-thirds of the way along the upper line.

In terms of explaining, in fundamental terms, how the Ascending Continuation Pattern evolves, consider a large institutional investor who wants to unload a large quantity of stock at a certain price. The order is placed. Once that price is reached, buyers will draw on the large supply and consequently, for other sellers to fill their orders, the price will need to drop. This will create a resistance line. However, once that large supply of stock is exhausted, the price will continue to climb as it normally would, providing the breakout that investors who want to learn technical analysis are waiting to see. - 23311

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