Trading Strategy - Descending Triangles Upside Breakout
The Descending triangle is a very well known chart pattern that is usually traded short, but can also be traded if it breaks out to the upside. A descending triangle is formed when the price action is contained within two lines. The bottom line is close to horizontal while the top line slopes down towards the bottom line.
Descending Triangles, Surprise On The Upside
The breakout of the descending triangle would be expected to be down, but a strong support level causes 43% of the patterns to break to the upside. The upside breakout of descending triangles can deliver positive returns with 41% of the patterns being profitable. The average return for the long trades is 0.87% in 8 days. So it is not the best pattern to trade long, but could be profitable.
Improve Your Trades
When you look at the performance of a descending triangle in bearish market conditions you will see the results were not as strong as they were in more bullish years. Trading descending triangles when both the sector and the market, are in an up trend or consolidating improves your trading results. Because of the shape of the pattern the share will naturally be in a down trend so in effect you are entering a retracement in the share during a bullish market phase.
A breakout from a descending triangle ideally occurs after the pattern gets 30% of the way to the point of the pattern. Avoid patterns that breakout early. In a similar way patterns with a very low height relative to the share price (2% or less) produces smaller returns.
Avoid descending triangles where there are two consecutive closes at the same level or two consecutive highs at the same level prior to the breakout. These are often signs of an illiquid stock. Ensure that the volume is supportive of the breakout, i.e. volume as the stock rises is greater than volume as the stock falls.
Descending Triangles Can Be Profitable
You can improve your trading results by using a series of simple filters that have been outlined here. This select group of descending triangles delivers an average profit of 1.45% in 10 days and is profitable on 51% of the trades. Overall this makes descending triangles attractive to trade.
Note: Statistics for this article have been provided by Patterns Trader after analyzing over 60,000 chart patterns on the Australian market from 2000 - 2008. - 23311
Descending Triangles, Surprise On The Upside
The breakout of the descending triangle would be expected to be down, but a strong support level causes 43% of the patterns to break to the upside. The upside breakout of descending triangles can deliver positive returns with 41% of the patterns being profitable. The average return for the long trades is 0.87% in 8 days. So it is not the best pattern to trade long, but could be profitable.
Improve Your Trades
When you look at the performance of a descending triangle in bearish market conditions you will see the results were not as strong as they were in more bullish years. Trading descending triangles when both the sector and the market, are in an up trend or consolidating improves your trading results. Because of the shape of the pattern the share will naturally be in a down trend so in effect you are entering a retracement in the share during a bullish market phase.
A breakout from a descending triangle ideally occurs after the pattern gets 30% of the way to the point of the pattern. Avoid patterns that breakout early. In a similar way patterns with a very low height relative to the share price (2% or less) produces smaller returns.
Avoid descending triangles where there are two consecutive closes at the same level or two consecutive highs at the same level prior to the breakout. These are often signs of an illiquid stock. Ensure that the volume is supportive of the breakout, i.e. volume as the stock rises is greater than volume as the stock falls.
Descending Triangles Can Be Profitable
You can improve your trading results by using a series of simple filters that have been outlined here. This select group of descending triangles delivers an average profit of 1.45% in 10 days and is profitable on 51% of the trades. Overall this makes descending triangles attractive to trade.
Note: Statistics for this article have been provided by Patterns Trader after analyzing over 60,000 chart patterns on the Australian market from 2000 - 2008. - 23311
About the Author:
Jeff Cartridge is a private traderand created the website LearnCFDs.com A Simple Timeless Method for Huge Gains
posted by Mr. Forex at
12:48 AM
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