How to Approach the Foreign Exchange Market
The foreign exchange market is mystifying to many people. There is good reason for this, since these financial markets are among the riskiest in which to trade. This article will explore the topic of the foreign exchange market, what makes it so risky and how to understand it a little better.
What exactly does foreign exchange mean? What are the nuts and bolts of this market? Quite simply, it's the money used in different countries around the world. An investor buys money (known as currency) from one country with the sale of money from another. Without this transaction process, the global economy would stop. Whether you know it or not, you have probably engaged in the foreign exchange market already. In fact, it may be an everyday occurrence for you.
If you have ever gone overseas on a holiday or for business, you would have needed to obtain currency in the country you visited. It doesn't matter if you used travellers cheques, credit card or cash, by functioning as a consumer overseas you would have needed to buy some local currency with the money you earned at home. It is this transaction that had you participating directly in the FX Market as a consumer.
An example of indirect participation is when you buy imported products in your home country. Products made overseas are usually sold in the currency of the country they were made. When they are sold in a country which is different to the one where they were produced, at some stage someone will need to make a foreign exchange transaction, translating the price of the product from the currency where the product was produced, to the currency where the product was consumed. It could be the producer, an importing company or the retailer that does this. Regardless, when you buy imported products, the currency translation will have occurred and therefore you have indirectly participated in a foreign currency transaction.
Why do the value of particular currencies change? The basic reason why the price of a currency changes is simple, its supply and demand. When there are more people who want to buy a specific currency than there are people who want to sell it, the price goes up. (Ie. those who want to buy, will offer a higher price to attract more sellers into the market.) Conversely, When there are more people who want to sell a specific currency than there are people who want to buy it, the price goes down. (Ie. those who want to sell will offer a lower price to attract more buyers into the market.) Thats the simple answer.
The really tough question though is what makes supply and demand change? This is the 1 question which makes trading in the FX market so difficult. Basically, no-one knows exactly what all the factors are that cause supply and demand to change in these markets. Many traders have a good idea of the major influences, but there are so many things which impact currencies that it is nigh on impossible to formularise the exact reasons currencies change price.
Currency prices are a measure of a countries "economic value" as compared against another countries "economic value". If you think about the myriad of factors which impact people's perceptions of the economy of the country you live in, you can start to understand why predicting FX price movements is difficult.
Of course, one country's economy is only one part of the overall equation. The strength of the other country's economy is equally important. It doesn't do you a tremendous amount of good to be the master of one country when deciding to trade in the currency exchange markets, if you aren't familiar with the other currency you're trading.
On top of that, your currency will be stacked up against the entire world's currencies. At this point you need a truly global perspective, weighing extremely diverse factors, before you decide one country's currency will spike in value while another will remain stagnant.
And if you manage to get all your analysis correct, you then need to hope everyone else does too. Currencies can move on investors opinions, expectations met or expectations not met, global sentiments of what is likely to happen as much as global opinion of what has happened. There are fundamental traders (who look at information such as the above to make their decisions) and technical traders. (who just follow graphs and don't care why) Both trader groups can impact the price as they impact supply and demand.
There are also types of investors who buy currencies far in advance of any hopes of selling, waiting to see the long-term growth. Many use this investment to support other, unrelated ventures. Naturally, this will affect the prices. It's a complicated equation.
Then there are Foreign Exchange Trading Strategies which don't need to predict if a currency is going to go up or down. It doesn't matter which way the traded currencies move, they make small incremental profits in both directions.
Hopefully, this explanation of various factors affecting the Foreign Exchange market has served to illuminate the subject. - 23311
What exactly does foreign exchange mean? What are the nuts and bolts of this market? Quite simply, it's the money used in different countries around the world. An investor buys money (known as currency) from one country with the sale of money from another. Without this transaction process, the global economy would stop. Whether you know it or not, you have probably engaged in the foreign exchange market already. In fact, it may be an everyday occurrence for you.
If you have ever gone overseas on a holiday or for business, you would have needed to obtain currency in the country you visited. It doesn't matter if you used travellers cheques, credit card or cash, by functioning as a consumer overseas you would have needed to buy some local currency with the money you earned at home. It is this transaction that had you participating directly in the FX Market as a consumer.
An example of indirect participation is when you buy imported products in your home country. Products made overseas are usually sold in the currency of the country they were made. When they are sold in a country which is different to the one where they were produced, at some stage someone will need to make a foreign exchange transaction, translating the price of the product from the currency where the product was produced, to the currency where the product was consumed. It could be the producer, an importing company or the retailer that does this. Regardless, when you buy imported products, the currency translation will have occurred and therefore you have indirectly participated in a foreign currency transaction.
Why do the value of particular currencies change? The basic reason why the price of a currency changes is simple, its supply and demand. When there are more people who want to buy a specific currency than there are people who want to sell it, the price goes up. (Ie. those who want to buy, will offer a higher price to attract more sellers into the market.) Conversely, When there are more people who want to sell a specific currency than there are people who want to buy it, the price goes down. (Ie. those who want to sell will offer a lower price to attract more buyers into the market.) Thats the simple answer.
The really tough question though is what makes supply and demand change? This is the 1 question which makes trading in the FX market so difficult. Basically, no-one knows exactly what all the factors are that cause supply and demand to change in these markets. Many traders have a good idea of the major influences, but there are so many things which impact currencies that it is nigh on impossible to formularise the exact reasons currencies change price.
Currency prices are a measure of a countries "economic value" as compared against another countries "economic value". If you think about the myriad of factors which impact people's perceptions of the economy of the country you live in, you can start to understand why predicting FX price movements is difficult.
Of course, one country's economy is only one part of the overall equation. The strength of the other country's economy is equally important. It doesn't do you a tremendous amount of good to be the master of one country when deciding to trade in the currency exchange markets, if you aren't familiar with the other currency you're trading.
On top of that, your currency will be stacked up against the entire world's currencies. At this point you need a truly global perspective, weighing extremely diverse factors, before you decide one country's currency will spike in value while another will remain stagnant.
And if you manage to get all your analysis correct, you then need to hope everyone else does too. Currencies can move on investors opinions, expectations met or expectations not met, global sentiments of what is likely to happen as much as global opinion of what has happened. There are fundamental traders (who look at information such as the above to make their decisions) and technical traders. (who just follow graphs and don't care why) Both trader groups can impact the price as they impact supply and demand.
There are also types of investors who buy currencies far in advance of any hopes of selling, waiting to see the long-term growth. Many use this investment to support other, unrelated ventures. Naturally, this will affect the prices. It's a complicated equation.
Then there are Foreign Exchange Trading Strategies which don't need to predict if a currency is going to go up or down. It doesn't matter which way the traded currencies move, they make small incremental profits in both directions.
Hopefully, this explanation of various factors affecting the Foreign Exchange market has served to illuminate the subject. - 23311
About the Author:
If you are bored of your slow mutual fund investment, Damian Papworth recommends FOREX trading. The speed and potential rewards are unparalleled.
posted by Mr. Forex at
1:59 AM
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